Arbitrage? What is it and what is an arbitrage system? What can it do for me? Who is it for? Do you offer us some guarantee like some other pick guys on the net?
According to my finance professor in college, the definition of arbitrage is:
"Attempting to profit by exploiting price differences of undervalued or overvalued investments."
What we have here is a software analysis of potential arbitrage opportunities in sports handicapping. You might be thinking, "Ya but everyone and their mother have some system, what is so special about yours?" Valid question, and the only way I can explain it, without giving away our proprietary secrets is to break it down step by step.
Step 1: Gather all the important viable information that might affect the score of the game. In the end as on Wall Street, it's the scoreboard that matters. On Wall Street it's the companies, earnings, stock price, outstanding shares, revenue, etc... that make up its score. What stock analysts do is take all the viable information they can find about a company and figure out if that stock is overpriced or under priced. The "spread" or "line" on an actual stock is its stock price. In sports there is an actual line, which makes it a heck of a lot easier. That line is established every single day and night and it's never perfect. If it was nobody could ever be right or wrong just push. Since that doesn't happen that means there is opportunity there for the few who are willing to follow some simple instructions. So step one we (not you us at www.ownthespread.com) gather all the viable information that we know is necessary or influential on the outcome of the score of a team in a game.
Step 2: Now it gets complicated for one step. I never thought I would ever use all my mathematical and statistical formulas but here I am using them. Using an extremely long and difficult to create algorithm of sorts we take all the numerous (as in up to 22) factors of what a team should score in a game to come up with a score for that game. Now you might think well I could do the same thing, true you could. The difference is we tested this formula and tweaked it to perfection one full season prior to testing, then one full season of testing, and now we are in year three. I can tell you with absolute certainty that based on what we calculate the game scores to be, we know the line and the total to half a point for every game ranging from the biggest March Madness championship game to the most obscure small college in the middle of nowhere basketball game. We know what the lines should be, and we are right 95% of the time. The thought will be now scratching your mind, 'Who cares if you can figure that out, Vegas already does'. That is true but Vegas or bookmakers also have to make lines with betting in mind. Just like on the stock market the true value of a company is never reflected in the stock price, it's the current value according to feelings of the market and the shareholders that do. In other words people tend to purchase emotionally, and that includes gamble. There is a reason after 2 years of analysis that we see certain teams (not going to mention who) have the largest discrepancy in their odds. It just might be correlated to how much people love or hate them; I think you can probably guess.
Step 3: Now that we have all the info, and calculated the score. We take a look at the odds that are out there, and there are a ton of them. We (not you, us) go around gathering all up to the minute odds from all over Vegas and overseas to find the game or games that provide the greatest possible arbitrage opportunities. Then what we do is value them according to our unique and secret valuation system, which in itself is more complicated than the formula to calculate the score. Finally, there it is, we inform our loyal clients of this information and then if they are willing to be disciplined and bet like they would invest, we have earned them a net rate of return of over 40%. So while the market was plummeting we were doing just fine. Up to now, what we have been doing has been private with a select few, and as of now those obligations are over and we are ready to share this information with as many people that want to invest a small amount of money for the trade off of information that will help any handicapper increase their edge and potentially own the spread.
Step 4: Provide analysis and tools and in depth results for the client. That is what we do here at www.ownthespread.com. Parlay creators, bankroll managers, results analysis, line movement predictors, and much more.
It can make you a good deal of money, or it can save you a good deal of money. To answer what it can do for you, it's best to answer who it's designed for.
It is important to remember it is not a picking system, we are not a couple guys with Armani suites and Rolexes with slicked back hair boasting about how we are the best handicappers in the world and you should pay us to help you. Instead we are a tool for all bettors of all varying levels. If you are a professional and you do this for a living, well have we got the tools for you. You might even have your own system which is great, all we can do here is reinforce the bets you are making or maybe even present to you an opportunity you did not see before in a sport that you might not be the best at. Sometimes we might even detail something about the game that will make you think twice about that bet, and it will save you some money. Our job is not to make the bets for you, but just say which lines are most advantageous according to what we calculate the score to be and then show you where is the most advantageous place to make that bet whether you live in Vegas or not. I think any pro would like to get any edge they can especially for a couple bucks a day.
Now let's say you bet for fun and would like to win when you do, but are not sure how much is the right amount to bet, or which teams are the best bets because you don't have time to calculate all that. We will do all that for you, and present to you a possible path for you to follow; using our $10/value pick system you can just print out the high value lines of the day and bet $10 per 1 value and you will earn the same profit results that we post on the front of our site. You can also use our parlay manager to create the most advantageous parlay bets to give you the best possible chance of hitting them.
Finally let's say you just want to gamble, and go for a big score, or just like to bet the big games on the big game nights. Well you can also just get our analysis of any specific game as well without all the rest of the package that we offer, and we can break down for you what our computers calculate should happen and you can take that information compare it to our line analysis and make a more informed decision. The choice to gamble is yours, but just as the stock market why not pay $10 to get some higher level information before dumping $500 to $5000 on a game.
If you are still asking this question then you were not reading. First off we do not provide picks, we just provide the best values to bet on based on our calculation of score and the current line/odds. What we do is provide the best possible value teams based on current lines being overvalued or undervalued. We are not providing warrantees or guarantees of the outcome of the games, just as stock analysts can only take what has happened and what is happening to create one possible outcome, which is what we do. The difference is predicting how well a basketball or hockey team is going to play is a lot more simple and predictable than the thousand other factors that affect a companies stock price. In basketball we have to evaluate basically one coach and 11 players. In a multinational corporation with 100,000 employees it's a bigger guess than what we do. We provide you with the possible opportunities your job is to take what you know, what you get from us, and combine them to make strong disciplined decisions regarding investing your money. In other words our site/software is not for someone who doesn't know if they want to bet on a game, rather it is for someone who is going to anyway and we just want to help them see their pick better. With a possibility certain times of years for hundreds of games going on in one day its impossible for one person alone to break down each one effectively to see which ones present the best opportunities. For dollars a day let www.ownthespread.com do that part of it for you and you gather in the cash.